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AT&T's Q2 2025 performance showcases a company navigating a complex landscape of growth opportunities and potential headwinds. While strong subscriber additions and fiber revenue growth are encouraging, rising churn and macroeconomic uncertainties warrant a balanced perspective.
AT&T demonstrates a steady, albeit not spectacular, revenue growth trajectory. Mobility service revenue grew 3.5%, and consumer wireline revenue increased by 5.8%, driven by a 19% surge in fiber revenue. This performance indicates a solid foundation for future expansion, particularly in key growth areas. However, business wireline revenues declined 9.3%, highlighting ongoing challenges in legacy services.
AT&T's strategic focus on fiber deployment, targeting 60 million fiber locations by 2030, including acquisitions and joint ventures, positions it for long-term growth. The company's ability to add over 400,000 postpaid phone customers and 243,000 fiber subscribers in Q2 showcases its strong commercial execution. However, churn remains elevated due to customers reaching the end of device financing periods and increased competitive activity.
AT&T's stock has shown a positive trend, driven by strong execution in mobility and broadband. The company has raised key financial and subscriber growth targets, supported by policy tailwinds and capital flexibility. However, the stock's recent performance has been volatile, with analysts expressing concern over the sustainability of margin expansion and elevated churn.
Churn remains elevated due to customers reaching the end of device financing periods and increased competitive activity. Management highlighted ongoing cost pressures from growth-related spending and higher equipment costs. Potential macroeconomic risks were noted, including tariff-related uncertainty and softness in some public sector business segments. Analysts expressed concern over the sustainability of margin expansion, elevated churn, and the pace of cost-saving realization.
AT&T is demonstrating innovation through its accelerated fiber deployment and the integration of fixed wireless as a funneling mechanism for future fiber customers. The AT&T Guarantee, while new, shows a commitment to customer satisfaction and network performance. However, there is no mention of AI or data center focus, which could limit long-term growth potential.
AT&T operates in a highly competitive market, facing challenges from Verizon, T-Mobile, and cable companies. Management acknowledges competitive and macroeconomic headwinds, particularly in churn and operating costs. Analysts frequently pressed on churn, pricing, and cost-saving sustainability, seeking reassurances on margin expansion and competitive positioning.
AT&T is exposed to macroeconomic risks, including tariff-related uncertainty and softness in some public sector business segments. The company's performance is also affected by changes to California's auto-renewal law, which could create headwinds for subscription-based services.
AT&T is targeting a large and growing TAM in mobility and broadband, with a clear focus on expanding its owned, operated, and controlled footprint. The company is pleased with share gains against cable and expects seasonality to be different this year. However, the market is highly competitive, and AT&T faces pressure from cable companies and T-Mobile.
There is no indication of geopolitical or ownership risks in the provided text. The company has strong governance and is focused on increasing shareholder returns through share repurchases and dividends.
AT&T Inc. provides telecommunications and technology services worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Communications and Latin America. The Communications segment offers wireless voice and data communications services; and sells handsets, wireless data cards, wireless computing devices, carrying cases/protective covers, and wireless chargers through its own company-owned stores, agents, and third-party retail stores. It also provides AT&T Dedicated Internet, fiber ethernet and broa...